Amarillo, Texas 7 Day Weather Forecast

Wx Forecast - Wx Discussion - Wx Aviation

035
FXUS64 KAMA 152329
AFDAMA

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Amarillo TX
629 PM CDT Sun Mar 15 2026

...New AVIATION...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Issued at 141 PM CDT Sun Mar 15 2026

- Potentially damaging winds are expected to continue through the
  afternoon, leading to reduced visibility due to blowing dust
  and difficult travel conditions.

- The strong winds and low relative humidity will support critical
  fire weather conditions through the afternoon.

- Cold wind chills in the teens and single digits are expected to
  be present tonight into Monday morning.

- Warming trend will look to follow with potential for record
  highs late next week with elevated fire weather conditions.

&&

.SHORT TERM...
(This evening through Monday night)
Issued at 141 PM CDT Sun Mar 15 2026

The potent upper level trough currently centered over the plains
will continue digging east southeast across the MS and OH Valley
region through tomorrow, resulting in northwest flow as high
pressure builds off the Baja coast. The cold front has advanced
into the Permian Basin with strong to damaging winds, dust, and
fires in its wake. The strong 60 knot LLJ and rapid height rises
has resulted in widespread 60+ mph north winds across the TX and
OK Panhandles, with the far southwest TX Panhandle being the one
area that has not hit 60mph as of 19z (this area was furthest
removed from the stronger low level jet winds at H85. The strong
CAA and better H5 Vort Advection in the northern Panhandles did
squeak out some snow flurries this morning near Boise City to
Perryton, with no reported accumulation. These showers have been
overcome by dry air and are no longer showing up on radar in our
area. There was some question on the wildfire threat today due to
the cooler temperatures, but a few fires have ignited in portions
of southwest OK and one in Donley County. Dust has been a problem
today, with the latest GOES Dust RGB indicating fairly widespread
areas of dust. Most of this dust has remained lofted with no area
ASOS/AWOS falling below 3 miles, but reports from public and
spotters support localized areas of near zero visibility
especially along US Highway 287 near Claude to Clarendon (worst
conditions with added smoke from "Corner Pocket Fire" near
Greenbelt Lake). Went ahead and issued a Dust Storm Warning based
on these reports along 287 along with additional reports of a
multiple car accident further down 287 near Quanah.

Conditions should dramatically improve after sunset tonight as
surface high pressure moves overhead mostly eliminating winds
after midnight. However, much colder temperatures can be expected
as skies should be clear enough for strong radiational cooling.
Expect lows in the teens tonight with wind chills in the single
digits across the north. High tomorrow will rebound into the 50s,
and winds will be on the low side at 10 to 15 mph.

Ward

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Tuesday through next Saturday)
Issued at 141 PM CDT Sun Mar 15 2026

The northwest flow aloft will persist as high pressure builds
across the Desert Southwest and greatly expands through next
weekend. This high pressure will lead to a notable warming trend,
with potentially record breaking high temperatures towards the end
of the week. The latest raw ensemble guidance (LREF) is showing
50th percentile afternoon temperatures in the upper 80s with 90th
percentile values in the low 90s by Friday. Meanwhile, 50th
percentile H5 heights of 594dm are indicated over the Desert
Southwest Thursday into Friday, before slightly weakening and
shifting east through the weekend with another potential cold
front around next Sunday. Will need to monitor for some elevated
fire weather conditions Wednesday through Saturday given how warm
it will be with at least breezy afternoons.

Ward

&&

.AVIATION...
(00Z TAFS)
Issued at 626 PM CDT Sun Mar 15 2026

Strong northerly winds will continue for another hour or two.
Should see a gradual decrease after dark, with winds eventually
becoming calm. Winds should eventually return to the southwest
later in this TAF period.

&&

.AMA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...Blowing Dust Advisory until 7 PM CDT this evening for TXZ001>020-
     317.

     High Wind Warning until 7 PM CDT this evening for TXZ001>020-317.

     Red Flag Warning until 8 PM CDT this evening for TXZ001>020-317.

OK...Blowing Dust Advisory until 7 PM CDT this evening for OKZ001>003.

     High Wind Warning until 7 PM CDT this evening for OKZ001>003.

     Red Flag Warning until 8 PM CDT this evening for OKZ001>003.

&&

$$

SHORT TERM...07
LONG TERM....07
AVIATION...03